| 海岬型船平均收益与新造船价格波动相关性的互谱分析 |
| 投稿时间：2010-03-12 修订日期：2010-05-06 点此下载全文 |
| 引用本文：王磊,李序颖.海岬型船平均收益与新造船价格波动相关性的互谱分析[J].上海海事大学学报,2010,31(3):74-77. |
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| 基金项目:上海市教委科研创新项目(10ZZ101)；上海海事大学重点学科(XR0101)；上海海事大学校基金(2009164)；上海海事大学研究生创新基金(yc2009006) |
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| 中文摘要:为揭示航运市场与造船市场之间的关系，运用谱分析方法，研究海岬型船平均营运收入与新船价格之间的周期波动关系.结果表明，平均营运收入和新船价格的波动周期约3～5年；新船价格的变化比营运收入变化滞后约4个月. |
| 中文关键词:航运周期 海岬型船 互谱分析 |
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| Cross spectral analysis on relationship between average earnings and new ship price of Capesizes |
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| Abstract:In order to reveal the relationship between shipping market and shipbuilding market， spectral method is used to study the cyclical fluctuating relationship between the average earnings and the new ship price of Capesizes． Results show that the cycle length of fluctuating between average earnings and new ship price is three to five years; the change of new ship price lags about four months behind that of average earnings． |
| keywords:shipping cycle Capesize cross spectral analysis |
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